Tuesday, March 20, 2012

'NRBs already poured Tk 1.50b, but local investors still sleeping'


Daily Sun-20 March,2012 Tuesday
The stock market is stable at present. Upward and downward movement of share prices is quite usual. The investors must have clear idea about capital market and they should raise their awareness level. If an investor depends on bank borrowings, then he or she will be loser at the end.

Nearly, Tk 1.50 billion has already been invested in the share market by NRBs (non-resident Bangladeshis) in February. But our local investors are still sleeping. Our investors will investment their funds when share prices will skyrocket, Captain Moazzem Hossain, Chairman of e-Securities said at an interview with ETV presenter Hero Zummon.

The following is the details of the interview.

* Do you think some shares are under priced?

# Yes, banks are still trading their shares at low rates. Some fundamentally strong shares are trading below the rates. Investors should always invest for long-term. Then it will be easy for them to gain.

* How qualified are the new DSE office bearers for the job? What do you expect from them?

# I felicitate the newly elected committee of DSE through ETV. They have taken right steps at the right time. They have selected proper persons for this crucial job and according to the expectations of investors. Rakibur Rahman is well qualified for the job. Earlier, he took a number of positive steps for the market. He can take more steps to stabilise and enhance the quality of the market.

* During his previous tenure as DSE president, he boldly declared that sponsor directors must hold 2 percent shares individually and collectively 30 percent shares of their respective companies. And they must not be allowed any concession. Do you think it will help the market turn positive?

# Of course. Sponsor-directors must buy back their shares. This is really a positive step for the market. I hope they will not get any advantage from this. They must hold 30 percent cumulative shares.

* AGMs are near at hand. May we hope any positive changes there?

# Yes, there will be mixed situation in the boards. New faces will replace old ones at the boards.

* Experts have opined that transparency will prevail in the market when culprits are punished instantly. What do you think about transparency and accountability?

# At first, you should detect the anomalies. Here the word punishment is not appropriate. After disclosure of the anomalies bring him to book if the law permits. You should monitor the whole situation and try your best to control the corruption.

* SEC is thinking of investing IPO money in three categories - associate, subsidiary and sister concern. They are trying to find out in which way the money will be invested. Which system do you think is applicable?

# The SEC law clearly mentioned which way will IPO money be invested. SEC is also thinking of adding some clauses to the law. This must be done after taking the opinion of the general investors and in consultation with SEC. Besides it will not be legal to use the IPO money otherwise from the designated sectors.

* Question through telephone: Everyday, we are hearing that sponsor-directors should possess individually 2 percent and cumulatively 30 percent shares. How can we know that they are buying shares? Will the market improve if they buy back shares?

# Sponsors must possess 2 percent shares to become director and total sponsors should hold 30 percent. This is the law. If they declare to buy shares before 30 days it is good but if one cannot buy shares at the existing rates due to fund constraints then he or she must declare 15 days ahead. I hope there will be no problem.

* Before buying shares of any company, it is important to know the PE ratio and EPS of any company for previous five years. It denotes the strength of a company.

# Some companies downplay their PE ratio but overprice EPS. I think, external audit firms are not maintaining international standard. Audit reports of most of the companies are not transparent. Some of the companies inflate their earnings. If you challenge audit report of any company you can unearth the reality.

* The newly elected DSE president said transparency and accountability of financial reports of any company could be maintained if it was audited by international auditors. What do you think?

# We can boycott those audit firms which never maintain transparency and accountability. There should be a list of audit companies who have minimum international standard capacity and re-audit should be done by the SEC. I personally thank SEC for the initiative to re-audit the financial reports of a company. Transparency will not be established if check and balance is not maintained properly.

* Here you are indicating PE ratio. On the other hand EPS is also an indicator of a company's performance.

# Both indicators are related and NAV is also another point for assessing a company's financial health, because some company's NAV may be Tk 15 but in the market it is Tk 150. If earning shows Tk 5 or Tk 6 it does not give us the real picture of a company. And some company's NAV is Tk 40, its market value is also Tk 40. How surprising this is. Now, NRBs are investing in stocks but not general investors. Merchant banks are about to die because of fund shortage as they had to borrow from banks.

* Do you think soft loan from Bangladesh Bank could help overcome the liquidity crisis? Will Bangladesh Bank consider the proposal?

# Policymakers of Bangladesh Bank should think of it first. They allow soft loans for agriculture sector or to develop various sectors allowing package loans. Some are interest-free loans. Merchant banks and some brokerage houses are suffering from liquidity crisis. At this moment, if Bangladesh Bank comes forward to assist them with an amount of Tk 10 billion, then merchant banks and brokerage houses will be on their feet and the investors will be the gainers.

* The government has decided to waive 50 percent interest from margin loans but some raise the question as to how merchant banks and brokerage houses will do the jobs. How will they be subsidised. Do you have any guideline in this regard?

# No. The government or the SEC is yet to mention any particular guideline in this regard. How merchant banks will maintain their funds is yet to be mentioned. The way out is not clearly mentioned. So, it will be very difficult to execute the process.

Govt to offload more 10pc shares of DESCO


Daily Sun-20  March,2012 Tuesday
Asif Showkat
The government has decided to offload 10 percent of its stake in Dhaka Electric Supply Company (DESCO) in a bid to increase the supply of quality shares to the market.

The decision came last week at a meeting presided over by Amalendu Mukherjee, joint secretary (Banking Policy) of the Finance Ministry.

‘The Banking Division has asked DESCO authorities to seek consent from law adviser of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to offload the shares,” an official said.

The government has taken the decision to make a breakthrough in offloading shares of 21 state-owned enterprises, Banking Division sources said.

A high official on Monday told daily sun that another lot of 10 percent shares of DESCO will be offloaded soon in an effort to stabilise the country’s share market.

As per the decision of the meeting, DESCO will provide an executive summary regarding offloading of 10 percent of government shares in DESCO.

DESCO will appoint an officer to expedite the process, as per the decision in the meeting.

The government owns 75 percent stake in DESCO while investors control 17.15 percent, foreign investors hold 0.6 percent and the rest 7.25 percent is owned by public.

Earlier, the government decided to offload 25 percent of its stakes in DESCO.

But the process has been delayed as the employees of DESCO demanded to offload 10 percent shares instead of 25 percent.

The government offloaded 10 percent of its shares in DESCO in 2006 with a face value of Tk 100 per share.

DESCO’s shares were selling at Tk 85.30 per share on the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) yesterday while it was Tk 81.30 on the previous day.

NBL Securities faces SEC probe for giving excess loan to Anwarul’s wife

New Age-20 March,2012 Tuesday
The Securities and Exchange Commission on Monday formed a two-member probe committee to investigate alleged excess margin loan disbursement by NBL Securities Ltd to one of its clients.
The SEC is investigating the matter in line with a notification issued by the commission on March 1 this year. The stock market regulatory body, through the notification, suspended its executive director Anwarul Kabir Bhuiyan as the regulators found evidences of his involvement in securities business.
In the notification, the SEC also said that it
would probe into excess
margin loan disbursement
by NBL Securities to Anwarul’s wife Rukhsana
Akter.
SEC director Sheikh Mahbubur Rahman and deputy director Oahidul Islam have been asked to investigate the matter and submit the report within 15 working days, SEC sources said.
In January 2011, Anwarul was made officer on special duty after allegations of his involvement in securities business had surfaced.
The 2011 stock scam probe committee, in its report, said that Anwarul was involved in securities business under his wife’s name which was a violation of the SEC law.
According to the probe report, Anwarul operated four beneficiary owners’ accounts in Al-Arafah Islami Bank, BLI Securities, LankaBangla Securities and NBL Securities.
The SEC order issued on April 11, 2010 barred any employee of the commission from securities business in his/her own name, or his/her spouse’s name, or in his/her parents’ or children’s names, or in name of any other person who is dependent on him/her.
Anwarul himself had signed the order.

Fresh buying spree lifts Dhaka stocks

FE Report-20 March,2012 Tuesday
Fresh buying spree forced the Dhaka stocks to rise for the third straight session Monday with increasing turnover value.

According to the market insiders, the investors opted for buying shares and were pouring fresh fund as optimism grew among them about a stable market in near future centring the newly elected leaders of the premier bourse.

The DGEN turned around after losing about 25 points within the first half an hour of the trading session, and continued to gain steadily for the rest of the session.

The benchmark general index of the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DGEN), the yardstick of the market, went up by 46.46 points or 1.00 per cent to close at 4,672.46.

The broader All Shares Price Index (DSI) soared 38.36 points or 0.99 per cent to close at 3,913.35. The DSE-20 Index comprising blue-chip shares closed almost flat and rose 2.97 points or 0.08 per cent to close at 3,611.42.

"The market observed some profit taking, but it was overall positive, echoing on optimism regarding newly elected leaders of the DSE," stated IDLC Finance Limited in its daily market analysis.

The participation of investors in market has been increasing steadily, as the turnover value continued to rise for the sixth consecutive session, reaching the month-highest level of Tk 4.82 billion, it added.

"The investors are pouring money into the power and fuel companies as the fuel oil import is skyrocketing due to lack of alternative energy," commented LankaBangla Securities.

High dividend yielding Grameenphone also continued to create positive trend of the market, it added.

An analyst commented the investors are optimistic about the prospects of market revival under the new leadership.

The rising trend of turnover value is a good sign for the market to be stable. However, he said the securities regulator and the DSE should continue their market monitoring efforts to curb unusual trading or activities.

The total turnover value stood at Tk 4.82 billion which was 19.01 per cent higher than previous session's Tk 4.05 billion.

'Sponsor-directors must buy shares to hold their positions


Daily Sun-19 March,2012 Monday
The sponsor-directors should buy shares to hold their positions in the companies. Otherwise they will loose their directorships. This law shouldn't be changed. So, they have to buy shares.

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has been monitoring the situation. So there is no alternative but to buy the shares.

In the meantime, majority of the sponsor-directors expressed their intentions to purchase shares. So the investors need not to worry. At the same time, I must request all sponsor-directors, please come and buy shares for the greater interest of the market.

Ahmed Rashid Lali, the newly elected senior vice president of DSE made the call at an interview with ETV's presenter Razib Zaman.

The following is the details of the interview.

* We have seen in the past that the leadership of the bourses makes several commitments before elections but they are reluctant in fulfilling those after being elected. What you think?

# Those who have been elected will do their best to take the market ahead. We (the new leadership) are capital market friendly and we are also cooperative to the share investors. I have received lots of phone calls before and after the election. I don't know most of the callers but I thanked all of them and will try to do my best to serve the purpose and fulfill their expectations through work.

At the same time, I must request all investors to invest cautiously. If you invest with full understanding then you will not be a looser and the market will progress day by day. Never think that the market will bubble up rapidly as soon as new elected members came. I hope, the market will be stabilised and grow gradually. We will do our best with the support of all those who are related with this business.

* We heard a lot about on-line trading, what will happen through on-line trading?

# Earlier, our bourses had the capacity of transacting 125,000 shares. Now, we can trade half a million, even more shares. Secondly, our ID ( ID means work station) was 1500, now we can expand it up to 5000 work stations. Thirdly, major inclusion is MAS+ trading through internet. The attraction of this service is that, you can enter server of brokerage houses and easily watch trading and whole market situation through a code number. You can instantly sell or buy shares according to your wish. Some parameters are adopted from older one to newer software. So, this software is much faster than the previous. For this, we are hopeful and I think the investors will also be hopeful.

* What about Padma Oil shares? We are receiving lot of calls about it.

# Everyone those who brought shares of Padma Oil is in confusion. The transaction of Padma Oil shares has remained suspended since a long. This is very interesting that , those purchase shares of Padma Oil they will get dividend of two years at a time. Very interesting is that the turmoil situation which is prevailing now didn't affect the share holders of Padma Oil. We are trying to contact with the management. After taking permission from the court they informed us they will fix fresh AGM date, fresh record and declaration of fresh dividend. Those who purchased shares of Padma Oil have to wait for sometime. But their fortune is waiting.

* What you think about financial advisory service which is going to be introduced soon.

# I thank the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) as they have done a lot in implementing the issue. They made a draft on this issue and sent it to us within 15 days. We will send back this draft with our comments and all the stakeholders will make comments on it. Then, it will come in to force as law. So, we hope, within two or three months, it will take shape as a law.

* We know you visited many stock exchanges around the globe. How the advisory services function in those countries?

# Don't be influenced by those who advise in television channels and suggest you for buying, selling or holding shares of any particular companies. Don't buy shares of the companies whose futures are not good enough. They are making lot of comments over some particular shares.

So, I think advisory service will be good for the shareholders.

* For will the investors have to pay for this service?

# Of course.

* In that case, if he/she suffers loss again who will bear the responsibility?

# Nobody will take the risk. If an advisor makes an advice, an investor must cautiously prepare his/her advice list. So, nobody will take this risk.

* Question through telephone: Why are sponsor-directors not announcing their purchasing offers? Do they have other plans? They don't have much time.

Another question through telephone: We are greed-locked since 2010 as it is not possible to buy or sell shares. What can we do now?

# I must request all sponsor-directors, please come and buy shares for the greater interest of the market.

I suggest the second to contact with his lenders because the government has declared the stimulus package for those who have taken marginal loans. So, the investors should contact with the merchant bank and brokerage house to find out the solution. Apply for interest waiving and rest portions will be in block account for three years. Please hold shares and the market situation will be changed soon and it will be possible to recover your losses within this period.

Immediately ask the merchant banks and brokerage houses to stop counting interests. Three years time will be enough for you to repay the rest 50 percent interests. The market will not bubble up like in the past.

* How would the investors who did not borrow be benefited from 20 percent IPO quota?

# A data base has already been in the SEC hand. So, according to this data based report, loser investors should automatically be able to apply for that quota. So, merchant banks or brokerage houses will decide how the loser investors will apply.

* How would the SEC identify loser investors?

# A database has gone to SEC from the brokerage houses where the names of loser investors are mentioned. And, now you can check with the brokerage house whether your name is in the list. Brokerage house made a simple chart in this regard.

* How had margin loan affected the market? In that case, do you feel a particular law should be enacted to check marginal loan?

# As far as I know marginal loan, which is taking place between clients and lenders totally depends on their relationship. So, I cannot blame any party. Both the issuer and the loan receiver should be careful. I think, preparing a particular guideline is very much essential in this regard. First, you have to verify whether the clients are capable to refund the loan.

Ahmed Rashid Lali tells daily sunMore monitoring, surveillance to restore investors’ confidence


Daily Sun-19 March,2012 Monday
Monitoring and surveillance will be strengthened to restore investors’ confidence, Ahmed Rashid Lali, newly elected senior vice president of Dhaka Stock Exchange said.

The DSE is passing through a crucial time. We have lot of challenges ahead and the prime job is to restore investors’ confidence, he said in an exclusive interview with daily sun.

The new DSE board has led to rise in optimism among the investors and we have to uphold this through strong surveillance, he added.

Stressing on monitoring and surveillance, Ahmed Rashid told daily sun, “The more the monitoring and surveillance team will work the more bolstered will be investors’ confidence.”

Monitoring is a must for ensuring sustainable and healthy market situation, he said.

The DSE board is trying to install new software to instantly detect transgressions in trading and stern action would be taken against the wrongdoers, said Mr Rashid.

“We are going to introduce online trading soon through MSA Plus software to facilitate investors,” he said adding “they will be able to watch sell and buy order with current prices.”

To ensure sound healthy situation in the share market all the stakeholders will have to work together, Ahmed Rashid said.

He also urged Bangladesh Bank to draw up guidelines on foreign investment as NRB investors are showing interest in the share market.

The DSE board will extend its all-out efforts to implement government’s market stabilising bailout package. We won’t leave any stone unturned to bring back normalcy in the market, he said.

Ahmed Rashid advised investors to make investment decisions considering company’s financial reports and fundamentals.

Commenting on the new board, he said it is not matter of concern who is in the board but investors have to be informative and take knowledge-based decisions.

DSE indices, turnover rise

FE Report-19 March,2012 Monday
Following the last week's developments, Dhaka stocks surged Sunday with improving turnover value, as optimism grew among the investors about the new leadership of the country's premier bourse.

The market analysts said the investors were someway optimistic about the new leadership of the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) and went for buying binge on the day.

The market opened with a flying note, gaining almost 121 points within five minutes upon resumption of the day's trading. The market lost some points for the rest of the session and finally ended the day more than 82 points higher.

The benchmark general index of the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DGEN), the yardstick of the market, soared 82.54 points or 1.81 per cent to close at 4,625.99.

The broader All Shares Price Index (DSI) went up by 66.84 points or 1.75 per cent to close at 3,874.94. The DSE-20 Index comprising blue-chip shares also advanced 23.82 points or 0.66 per cent to close at 3,608.45.

Mr Md Moniruzzaman, managing director of IDLC Investment Limited, said the investors opted for buying shares as they were optimistic about the newly elected DSE president.

The newly elected leadership of the DSE might stimulate some expectation among the investors of good days in future, said Mr Moniruzzaman.

"Newly elected president of the DSE is expected to work for improving the investment atmosphere of the market which has encouraged the investors to buy shares," commented LankaBangla Securities in its daily market analysis.

A stock broker said the investors were expecting some stability in the market driven by the government's compensation package, tax rebate and the effective market monitoring by the DSE and the Securities and Exchange Commission.

However, he skeptical about the sustainability of the rising trend, unless the active and regular participation of institutional investors are ensured.

Prices of most of the traded issues gained on the day as out of 258 issues traded, 226 advanced, 26 declined and five remained unchanged.

The turnover value crossed the Tk 4.0 billion mark after 11 trading session and stood at Tk 4.05 billion which was 9.16 per cent higher compared to Tk 3.71 billion in the previous session.

A total of 85.09 million shares changed hands on the day against 76.74 million in the previous session. The trade deals also increased to 114,044 against Thursday's 106,425.

The total market capitalisation of the DSE stood at Tk 2,410.71 billion against Tk 2,374.67 billion in the previous session.

Rakibur for timely execution of stimulus package

FE Report-19 March,2012 Monday
The newly-elected president of the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) Rakibur Rahman said Sunday there should be no disruption in the process of implementation of the rejuvenation package within its announced timeframe, for the sake of restoring stability in the stock market.

Mr Raman was addressing an 'informal' press briefing, held at the DSE office.

"The stimulus package announced in line with the government's instructions will have to be implemented without making any change."

He said the result of any delay in implementing the package will not be good for the market.

"There is no chance of extending the SEC-set deadline for the sponsor-directors to purchase the minimum portion of shares of their respective companies."

He urged the sponsor-directors, who once made an exit by selling off their shares at high prices, to return to the market.

On November 23, 2011 the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announced a 21-point stock market rejuvenation package, including a mandatory provision of holding minimum two per cent shares by the sponsor-directors within six months.

As per the SEC's directive, the timeframe for purchasing the minimum shares will end on May 22. However, about 90 per cent of the sponsor-directors are yet to make their declaration for purchasing the shares.

The DSE president also stressed on ensuring transparency and accountability in the stock market to attract new investors and retain the existing ones for the sake of the market.

"At first accountability and transparency have to be ensured to attract the investors to the market. They will come to the market, once the stakeholders practice accountability and transparency," Rahman said.

In this regard, he was asked about the implementation of the recommendations of the two probe committees, formed after the stock market debacles in 1996 and 2010-11.

"It's not the time to speak about these issues. Give me some time, and I will talk about the issue," he said.

Mr. Rahman also said the companies listed on the stock market must maintain the international standard in their financial statements.

"The securities regulator must take punitive measures against the companies, if they confuse the investors by disseminating false information through their balance sheets," he added.